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Qual 732016 Iowa Regional
Red118
392830.4
544239.3
582326.3
Blue89
308121.4
375031.5
423027.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9075406010012014011889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#6
39.31.8
36.9→38.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 7.8
3750
#44
31.50.9
30.1→31.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Second
3928
#33
30.42.6
27.7→30.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
red by 2.4
4230
#30
27.90.9
26.5→27.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End4.5
Third
5823
#22
26.32.6
21.0→23.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
red by 4.9
3081
#48
21.41.3
18.6→20.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed