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Red75
530819.2
302627.8
222021.9
Blue64
583727.3
530615.3
64827.4
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772204060801007564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#38
27.80.1
26.326.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 0.3
648
#15
27.40.5
27.426.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Second
2220
#36
21.90.0
22.822.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
blue by 5.4
5837
#20
27.30.5
27.126.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Third
5308
#52
19.20.1
16.616.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.2
red by 3.9
5306
#53
15.30.5
14.914.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed