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Red79
241029.8
301823.0
252626.2
Blue91
247017.2
464632.8
182528.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81762040601007991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#23
29.80.1
31.231.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
blue by 3.0
4646
#19
32.80.8
31.232.0
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
2526
#16
26.20.1
24.024.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 2.5
1825
#27
28.70.8
27.828.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
Third
3018
#26
23.00.1
22.822.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 5.8
2470
#45
17.21.1
15.416.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed