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Red79
270529.1
388327.4
176425.3
Blue74
590614.4
181019.9
115632.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885702040801001201407974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#13
29.10.2
29.229.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
blue by 3.7
1156
#31
32.80.9
29.730.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End3.0
Second
3883
#37
27.40.2
26.226.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 7.6
1810
#51
19.90.6
18.819.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Third
1764
#25
25.30.1
25.325.2
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 10.9
5906
#50
14.40.9
11.612.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed