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Red72
253817.6
288341.6
318425.4
Blue124
481828.8
306725.3
328438.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928605015020025030072124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
41.61.1
44.543.5
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
red by 3.3
38.32.0
36.438.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.4
End6.3
Second
3184
#42
25.41.6
24.222.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
blue by 3.5
28.82.0
26.228.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Third
2538
#41
17.61.1
19.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 7.7
3067
#43
25.32.9
21.624.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned