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Red117
517254.9
481828.8
590614.4
Blue67
253817.6
392830.4
16728.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102755015011767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.5
54.656.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 24.5
3928
#33
30.40.9
30.329.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
Second
28.81.5
28.129.6
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
red by 0.8
167
#12
28.00.9
28.027.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Third
5906
#50
14.41.9
12.414.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 3.3
2538
#41
17.60.6
18.317.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed