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Red78
247017.2
302627.8
423027.9
Blue93
270529.1
363324.4
313032.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6894204060801201401607893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#30
27.90.5
27.427.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End4.5
blue by 4.7
32.60.0
34.134.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
Second
3026
#38
27.80.7
26.226.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
blue by 1.3
2705
#13
29.10.0
29.029.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
Third
2470
#45
17.20.7
16.517.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 7.2
3633
#47
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed