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Qual 882016 Iowa Regional
Red86
557630.4
96723.3
306725.3
Blue120
544239.3
363027.3
530819.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7883406010012014086120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#17
30.40.8
29.5→30.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End5.3
blue by 8.9
5442
#6
39.32.0
38.8→40.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Second
3067
#43
25.30.8
24.5→25.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
blue by 2.0
3630
#21
27.32.7
24.6→27.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Third
967
#39
23.30.8
22.5→23.3
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 4.1
5308
#52
19.22.7
16.6→19.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned