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Qual 892016 Iowa Regional
Red83
504116.8
464632.8
388327.4
Blue109
52548.1
481828.8
64827.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701185010015020083109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#19
32.80.5
32.3→32.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
blue by 15.3
525
#2
48.10.3
49.9→49.6
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
Second
3883
#37
27.40.6
26.8→27.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End4.4
blue by 1.4
4818
#5
28.80.2
29.6→29.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Third
5041
#46
16.80.7
16.1→16.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 10.7
648
#15
27.40.3
27.7→27.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed