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Semifinal 1-12016 Iowa Regional
Red185
52548.1
517254.9
120829.6
Blue152
251241.5
544239.3
17126.6
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512650100150200250185152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.0
55.555.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 13.3
41.50.0
41.741.7
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
525
#2
48.10.0
48.948.9
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 8.8
39.30.0
39.539.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Third
1208
#35
29.60.0
30.230.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End4.3
red by 2.9
171
#14
26.60.0
26.926.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End6.8