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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Iowa Regional
Red180
52548.1
517254.9
120829.6
Blue130
375031.5
270529.1
318425.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719350150200250180130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
54.90.0
55.5→55.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 23.3
3750
#44
31.50.3
31.2→31.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Second
525
#2
48.10.0
48.9→48.9
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 19.1
2705
#13
29.10.4
28.6→29.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
Third
1208
#35
29.60.0
30.2→30.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End4.3
red by 4.2
3184
#42
25.40.4
25.0→25.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9