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Semifinal 1-22016 Iowa Regional
Red150
52548.1
517254.9
120829.6
Blue105
251241.5
544239.3
17126.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512650100150200250150105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
54.90.2
55.5→55.3
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 13.3
2512
#8
41.50.2
41.7→41.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
525
#2
48.10.3
48.9→48.6
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 8.8
5442
#6
39.30.2
39.5→39.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Third
1208
#35
29.60.2
30.2→30.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End4.3
red by 2.9
171
#14
26.60.2
26.8→26.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End6.8