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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Idaho Regional
Red110
400935.7
156938.3
208524.3
Blue115
548932.5
189126.6
417517.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13082050100150200110115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#4
38.30.2
38.7→38.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
red by 5.8
5489
#8
32.50.4
31.8→32.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End10.4
Second
4009
#7
35.70.2
36.1→35.9
Auto11.8
Teleop20.1
End3.8
red by 9.1
1891
#6
26.60.4
25.9→26.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
2085
#23
24.30.2
24.5→24.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
red by 6.4
4175
#27
17.90.4
17.2→17.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0