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Semifinal 2-12016 Idaho Regional
Red152
324531.3
323040.9
593122.3
Blue110
70132.9
581835.9
324319.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122113406080100140160180152110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.90.2
41.1→41.3
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 5.0
5818
#3
35.90.0
37.1→37.0
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Second
3245
#10
31.30.2
31.5→31.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
blue by 1.7
701
#11
32.90.0
34.1→34.1
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
Third
5931
#16
22.30.2
22.5→22.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
red by 2.6
3243
#21
19.70.0
20.9→20.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2