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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Idaho Regional
Red116
324531.3
323040.9
593122.3
Blue93
549619.8
621022.4
356223.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316805010015020011693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.90.1
41.2→41.1
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 17.5
3562
#15
23.40.2
23.2→23.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
3245
#10
31.30.1
31.6→31.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 8.9
6210
#12
22.40.2
22.2→22.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Third
5931
#16
22.30.1
22.6→22.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
red by 2.5
5496
#24
19.80.2
19.6→19.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2