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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Idaho Regional
Red118
70132.9
581835.9
324319.7
Blue114
39932.2
587124.8
549918.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12187050100150200250118114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#3
35.90.1
37.5→37.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
red by 3.7
399
#14
32.20.0
32.0→32.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
701
#11
32.90.1
34.5→34.6
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
red by 8.1
5871
#9
24.80.0
24.6→24.6
Auto11.4
Teleop7.8
End5.7
Third
3243
#21
19.70.1
21.3→21.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2
red by 1.3
5499
#28
18.30.0
18.1→18.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2