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Qual 122016 Idaho Regional
Red85
156938.3
417517.9
324319.7
Blue81
156617.8
351320.6
212241.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69790501001502008581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#4
38.31.8
32.2→34.0
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
blue by 3.6
2122
#1
41.90.4
39.6→39.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
Second
3243
#21
19.71.1
20.3→21.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 0.9
3513
#22
20.60.6
20.5→21.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Third
4175
#27
17.91.8
16.0→17.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 0.1
1566
#26
17.80.6
15.7→16.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned