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Red70
162213.5
325118.7
587124.8
Blue105
543017.4
549918.3
325048.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43840206010012014016070105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.4
13.815.2
Auto11.4
Teleop7.8
End5.7
blue by 23.5
48.42.0
42.444.4
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
3251
#25
18.71.4
22.023.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 0.4
5499
#28
18.32.0
18.420.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
1622
#29
13.50.8
11.612.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.2
blue by 4.0
5430
#20
17.42.4
14.316.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed