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Qual 142016 Idaho Regional
Red76
546113.8
581835.9
208524.3
Blue115
70132.9
323040.9
593122.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64104020408012014016076115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#3
35.90.5
30.6→31.1
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
blue by 5.0
3230
#2
40.91.3
41.7→43.0
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Second
2085
#23
24.30.6
22.3→23.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
blue by 8.6
701
#11
32.91.3
33.1→34.4
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
Third
5461
#30
13.80.9
15.3→16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 8.5
5931
#16
22.32.2
20.3→22.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed