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Red45
621022.4
314522.9
39932.2
Blue100
324531.3
259429.3
189126.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787220406010012045100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#14
32.22.0
32.730.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 1.0
3245
#10
31.31.3
26.027.3
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Second
3145
#17
22.93.3
23.119.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
blue by 6.3
2594
#13
29.32.1
19.721.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End5.4
Third
6210
#12
22.43.3
19.015.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
blue by 4.3
26.61.3
25.126.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed