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Qual 162016 Idaho Regional
Red89
581835.9
325048.4
156617.8
Blue80
323040.9
543017.4
412530.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96874060801201401608980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#5
48.40.5
44.4→43.9
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 7.5
3230
#2
40.90.7
43.0→42.3
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Second
5818
#3
35.90.5
31.1→30.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
red by 5.8
4125
#18
30.10.7
26.0→25.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Third
1566
#26
17.80.9
16.3→15.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 0.4
5430
#20
17.40.8
16.8→16.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed