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Red81
325118.7
156938.3
621022.4
Blue83
189126.6
314522.9
208524.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576702040801001201401608183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.32.7
23.726.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
red by 11.7
26.61.3
21.923.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Second
6210
#12
22.44.0
22.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
blue by 2.0
2085
#23
24.31.9
19.221.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
Third
3251
#25
18.72.7
17.520.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 4.2
3145
#17
22.92.2
22.124.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed