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Qual 42016 Idaho Regional
Red90
351320.6
325048.4
593122.3
Blue86
549619.8
324531.3
400935.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708702040601001201401609086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#5
48.41.0
38.0→38.9
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 12.7
4009
#7
35.70.4
33.9→34.3
Auto11.8
Teleop20.1
End3.8
Second
5931
#16
22.35.1
22.3→17.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 9.0
3245
#10
31.30.3
27.0→27.3
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
3513
#22
20.61.6
17.1→18.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
red by 0.8
5496
#24
19.80.3
20.9→21.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed