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Qual 302016 Idaho Regional
Red98
208524.3
323040.9
324531.3
Blue102
156617.8
156938.3
412530.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977620406012014016098102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.90.4
40.8→41.2
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 2.6
1569
#4
38.32.8
36.0→38.8
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
Second
3245
#10
31.30.4
27.1→27.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 1.1
4125
#18
30.11.7
26.6→28.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Third
2085
#23
24.30.4
23.5→23.9
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
red by 6.5
1566
#26
17.82.8
14.3→17.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed