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Red111
548932.5
549918.3
581835.9
Blue82
420615.7
70132.9
324319.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8470020406010012014016011182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.1
30.933.0
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
red by 3.0
701
#11
32.90.8
35.336.1
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
Second
32.52.1
28.730.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End10.4
red by 12.8
3243
#21
19.70.8
19.220.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Third
5499
#28
18.32.1
19.821.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 2.6
4206
#19
15.70.8
15.516.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed