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Red130
212241.9
156938.3
324531.3
Blue83
189126.6
587124.8
39932.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157420406010014016018013083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.9
39.940.8
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
red by 9.7
399
#14
32.20.0
33.333.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
38.31.5
38.840.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
red by 11.7
26.60.0
23.623.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
3245
#10
31.30.9
27.628.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 6.4
24.80.0
20.920.9
Auto11.4
Teleop7.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed