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Red44
156617.8
208524.3
543017.4
Blue73
621022.4
417517.9
549619.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575402040801001204473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#23
24.31.4
23.922.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
red by 2.0
6210
#12
22.42.2
19.621.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Second
1566
#26
17.82.4
17.114.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
5496
#24
19.81.3
16.818.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Third
5430
#20
17.41.4
14.212.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 0.5
4175
#27
17.92.2
16.618.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed