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Qual 342016 Idaho Regional
Red85
323040.9
259429.3
162213.5
Blue80
356223.4
314522.9
325048.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510140601201401608580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.90.6
41.2→41.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
blue by 7.5
3250
#5
48.41.3
43.9→42.6
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
2594
#13
29.31.0
23.6→24.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End5.4
red by 5.9
3562
#15
23.42.1
28.4→26.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Third
1622
#29
13.50.6
11.6→12.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.2
blue by 9.5
3145
#17
22.92.1
21.8→19.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed