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Red51
156617.8
314522.9
420615.7
Blue74
189126.6
593122.3
162213.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59562040801005174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#17
22.90.6
21.821.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
blue by 3.7
26.61.3
23.024.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Second
1566
#26
17.80.6
16.816.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 4.5
5931
#16
22.31.8
20.722.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
4206
#19
15.70.4
18.317.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 2.2
1622
#29
13.51.3
11.112.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed