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Red100
400935.7
39932.2
412530.1
Blue96
325118.7
581835.9
324531.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10784406010012014016010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.7
39.138.4
Auto11.8
Teleop20.1
End3.8
blue by 0.2
35.90.4
35.035.4
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Second
399
#14
32.20.7
32.231.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 1.0
3245
#10
31.30.4
29.830.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
4125
#18
30.10.7
28.928.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
red by 11.4
3251
#25
18.70.6
20.020.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned