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Qual 502016 Idaho Regional
Red81
39932.2
549619.8
351320.6
Blue67
412530.1
314522.9
162213.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73670501001502008167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#14
32.20.8
31.5→32.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 2.1
4125
#18
30.10.1
30.0→30.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Second
3513
#22
20.60.9
19.2→20.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 2.3
3145
#17
22.90.1
22.6→22.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Third
5496
#24
19.80.8
19.1→19.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2
red by 6.3
1622
#29
13.50.1
13.1→13.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed