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Red77
323040.9
356223.4
546113.8
Blue71
325118.7
420615.7
156938.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82770501001507771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.1
41.341.2
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 2.6
38.30.8
39.538.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End8.1
Second
3562
#15
23.40.2
23.823.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 4.6
3251
#25
18.70.7
19.418.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
5461
#30
13.80.2
14.013.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 1.9
4206
#19
15.70.6
16.515.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed