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Qual 62016 Idaho Regional
Red86
162213.5
549918.3
212241.9
Blue97
189126.6
593122.3
581835.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772204060801001208697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
41.91.1
38.5→39.6
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
red by 6.0
5818
#3
35.91.9
28.7→30.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Second
5499
#28
18.31.1
17.3→18.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 8.3
1891
#6
26.61.9
23.3→25.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
1622
#29
13.51.0
10.6→11.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.2
blue by 8.9
5931
#16
22.33.1
17.2→20.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed