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Red82
259429.3
412530.1
208524.3
Blue97
351320.6
70132.9
325118.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63750501001502008297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#18
30.10.9
23.724.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
blue by 2.8
701
#11
32.91.1
32.033.1
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
Second
2594
#13
29.31.6
18.119.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End5.4
red by 8.7
3513
#22
20.61.8
18.720.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Third
2085
#23
24.31.3
21.122.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
red by 5.6
3251
#25
18.71.8
20.222.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed