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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Midwest Regional
Red107
37943.4
306131.5
464529.4
Blue121
206240.2
162542.1
582228.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12715250100200250107121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#18
43.40.5
44.8→44.3
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 1.3
1625
#7
42.10.3
43.4→43.2
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
3061
#6
31.50.5
32.9→32.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
blue by 8.6
2062
#8
40.20.3
41.5→41.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
4645
#33
29.40.5
30.7→30.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.4
5822
#21
28.00.3
29.3→29.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7