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Semifinal 2-12016 Midwest Regional
Red160
233842.4
11144.5
424132.1
Blue137
409626.6
432929.1
17131.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510150200250160137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
44.50.1
45.3→45.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 13.5
171
#29
31.10.1
31.0→31.1
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
Second
2338
#3
42.40.1
43.1→43.0
Auto8.0
Teleop29.6
End4.7
red by 13.3
4329
#9
29.10.1
29.0→29.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
4241
#15
32.10.1
32.8→32.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
red by 5.4
4096
#20
26.60.1
26.5→26.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7