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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Midwest Regional
Red107
37943.4
306131.5
464529.4
Blue105
206240.2
162542.1
582228.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126152050100200250107105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#18
43.40.7
44.3→43.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 1.3
1625
#7
42.10.6
43.2→42.5
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
3061
#6
31.50.7
32.4→31.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
blue by 8.6
2062
#8
40.20.6
41.2→40.6
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
4645
#33
29.40.7
30.3→29.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.4
5822
#21
28.00.6
29.0→28.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7