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Qual 112016 Midwest Regional
Red128
270918.0
173647.5
369528.4
Blue75
185015.6
233842.4
593421.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766820406010012014016012875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#1
47.53.0
41.1→44.1
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 5.1
2338
#3
42.40.2
36.3→36.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.6
End4.7
Second
3695
#25
28.44.4
22.3→26.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 7.1
5934
#39
21.30.3
15.9→16.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Third
2709
#35
18.03.0
9.6→12.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 2.3
1850
#47
15.60.3
15.5→15.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed