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Red40
535014.9
17131.1
419123.4
Blue57
339020.1
512515.2
348827.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70510204060801001201404057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#29
31.11.9
29.727.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
red by 3.4
3488
#12
27.70.5
18.118.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End5.8
Second
4191
#36
23.42.8
17.014.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
red by 3.3
3390
#34
20.10.5
15.816.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
5350
#49
14.92.8
18.515.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 0.3
5125
#40
15.20.5
18.619.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed