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Qual 132016 Midwest Regional
Red70
278127.0
497920.6
93129.4
Blue132
306131.5
206240.2
464529.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52105015020070132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#17
29.40.9
23.4→24.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.7
End4.4
blue by 10.8
2062
#8
40.22.8
38.4→41.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Second
2781
#16
27.01.2
16.9→18.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.0
End5.6
blue by 4.5
3061
#6
31.53.1
28.2→31.2
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
4979
#44
20.61.2
18.6→19.8
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 8.7
4645
#33
29.42.8
27.9→30.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned