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Qual 142016 Midwest Regional
Red102
11144.5
10127.4
424712.3
Blue83
306726.8
424132.1
29124.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60820204010012014016010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
44.53.0
33.8→36.8
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 12.5
4241
#15
32.10.2
25.3→25.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
101
#19
27.44.5
18.8→23.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
red by 0.6
3067
#38
26.80.2
27.5→27.3
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
4247
#45
12.33.0
9.1→12.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 12.0
291
#41
24.30.2
23.3→23.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed