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Red75
348827.7
582228.0
215120.8
Blue55
270918.0
470211.1
306726.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522040801007555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#21
28.01.0
23.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
red by 1.2
3067
#38
26.80.5
27.326.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
3488
#12
27.71.7
18.620.3
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End5.8
red by 9.7
2709
#35
18.00.5
12.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Third
2151
#11
20.81.7
17.319.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 9.8
4702
#51
11.10.8
12.511.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed