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Qual 242016 Midwest Regional
Red84
497920.6
206240.2
419123.4
Blue104
623723.7
173647.5
584731.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749820406012014016018084104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#8
40.20.3
41.2→41.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
blue by 7.3
1736
#1
47.50.2
44.1→44.2
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
Second
4191
#36
23.40.4
14.2→14.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
blue by 8.0
5847
#10
31.30.2
31.9→32.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Third
4979
#44
20.60.4
19.8→20.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 3.1
6237
#26
23.70.3
15.6→15.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed