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Qual 262016 Midwest Regional
Red127
37943.4
213618.3
245147.6
Blue93
464529.4
424132.1
593421.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108685015020012793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#4
47.61.6
41.8→43.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
red by 15.6
4241
#15
32.11.2
25.1→26.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
379
#18
43.41.7
42.5→44.2
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 14.0
4645
#33
29.41.1
30.6→31.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Third
2136
#48
18.32.6
14.3→16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
blue by 3.0
5934
#39
21.31.8
16.1→17.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned