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Qual 272016 Midwest Regional
Red112
11144.5
162542.1
429623.5
Blue72
339020.1
369528.4
270420.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11652010015011272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
44.50.3
38.1→38.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 16.2
3695
#25
28.41.3
26.5→27.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
1625
#7
42.10.3
39.9→40.2
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
red by 21.9
2704
#22
20.20.8
17.8→18.6
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Third
4296
#50
23.50.3
25.0→25.3
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 3.5
3390
#34
20.11.3
15.9→17.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed