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Red70
93129.4
478719.5
185015.6
Blue96
584731.3
10127.4
414343.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541052040801201401601807096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#17
29.40.0
26.526.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.7
End4.4
blue by 13.7
43.10.2
37.337.1
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
Second
4787
#46
19.50.0
16.816.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 11.8
5847
#10
31.30.2
32.131.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Third
1850
#47
15.60.0
16.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 11.8
101
#19
27.40.3
24.824.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed