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Red75
173921.0
272516.8
245147.6
Blue109
215120.8
233842.4
206240.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510520406012014016018075109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.2
43.343.2
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
red by 5.3
42.40.8
36.837.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.6
End4.7
Second
1739
#31
21.00.2
17.417.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.8
blue by 19.2
40.20.8
41.442.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
2725
#42
16.80.3
16.616.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 4.1
2151
#11
20.81.3
19.020.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned