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Qual 422016 Midwest Regional
Red69
270918.0
429220.8
162542.1
Blue65
17131.1
213618.3
424712.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7455020401001201406965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#7
42.10.0
40.2→40.2
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
red by 11.0
171
#29
31.10.6
26.8→27.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
Second
4292
#30
20.80.0
15.5→15.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.6
red by 2.5
2136
#48
18.31.0
16.2→17.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
Third
2709
#35
18.00.0
13.3→13.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 5.7
4247
#45
12.30.6
13.2→13.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed