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Qual 432016 Midwest Regional
Red69
178123.1
335226.2
464529.4
Blue86
203927.6
10127.4
409626.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857002040601001201401606986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4645
#33
29.40.8
30.7→30.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.8
2039
#13
27.61.1
22.5→23.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
Second
3352
#37
26.20.8
25.6→24.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End5.2
blue by 1.3
101
#19
27.41.8
24.4→26.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
Third
1781
#27
23.10.8
23.9→23.2
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 3.5
4096
#20
26.61.1
23.0→24.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed