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Qual 472016 Midwest Regional
Red100
173647.5
582228.0
467613.7
Blue100
10127.4
432929.1
162542.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8895406080120140100100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#1
47.5
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 5.4
1625
#7
42.1
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
5822
#21
28.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
blue by 1.1
4329
#9
29.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
4676
#43
13.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 13.7
101
#19
27.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed